Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.059820 0.069946 0.081230 0.094732 0.110446 0.128158 0.149639
2025-09-21 0.042638 0.055385 0.071101 0.091892 0.118669 0.151996 0.196649
2025-09-28 0.032552 0.045853 0.063582 0.088915 0.124173 0.171513 0.239953
2025-10-05 0.027455 0.041336 0.061061 0.091086 0.135614 0.199219 0.297062
2025-10-12 0.023383 0.037298 0.058196 0.091794 0.144427 0.223733 0.352424
2025-10-19 0.020185 0.033902 0.055548 0.092088 0.152197 0.247170 0.408788
2025-10-26 0.017877 0.031472 0.053912 0.093514 0.161614 0.273952 0.473537
2025-11-02 0.016241 0.029861 0.053294 0.096378 0.173558 0.306020 0.550871
2025-11-09 0.013934 0.026694 0.049529 0.093170 0.174426 0.319195 0.596984
2025-11-16 0.012413 0.024718 0.047564 0.092840 0.180243 0.341510 0.661957
2025-11-23 0.011049 0.022826 0.045470 0.091921 0.184725 0.361731 0.725296
2025-11-30 0.010185 0.021785 0.044841 0.093707 0.194553 0.393017 0.813594
2025-12-07 0.009104 0.020168 0.042904 0.092697 0.198861 0.414459 0.885899
2025-12-14 0.008036 0.018422 0.040473 0.090340 0.200095 0.429926 0.948088
2025-12-21 0.007071 0.016758 0.037983 0.087494 0.199871 0.442262 1.005110
2025-12-28 0.006616 0.016180 0.037775 0.089649 0.210867 0.479758 1.121810
2026-01-04 0.006103 0.015392 0.036981 0.090349 0.218635 0.511048 1.228437
2026-01-11 0.005619 0.014599 0.036070 0.090639 0.225462 0.540982 1.335645
2026-01-18 0.005252 0.014043 0.035647 0.092043 0.235120 0.578579 1.465775
2026-01-25 0.004996 0.013736 0.035787 0.094863 0.248617 0.626868 1.628060
2026-02-01 0.004456 0.012600 0.033698 0.091704 0.246594 0.637108 1.696302
2026-02-08 0.004110 0.011937 0.032739 0.091379 0.251864 0.666140 1.816451
2026-02-15 0.003772 0.011249 0.031621 0.090475 0.255473 0.691341 1.929684